Covid-19 USA Reporting Data From CDC

Authors

  • Mark D Mann Texas Woman's University

Abstract

2020 was on track to have higher influenza and pneumonia death rates. So, if 2018 high pneumonia and influenza totals were relabeled or mislabeled as covid-19 in 2020, results would be similar to the reported COV-19 2020 totals.  Especially, if a 10% increase in deaths in 2020 from Pneumonia and Influenza, compared to the 2018 Pneumonia and Influenza Deaths, has occured. 

If the Pneumonia and Influenza Death Rates for week 5- week 13 of 2020 would have increased by 10%, compared to 2018 death rate in the same week 5- week 13 time period, that would account for another 3,812 (pneumonia) + 699 (influenza), or 4,511 deaths in 2020 that could then be attributed to, or labelled as, Covid-19 deaths in 2020 from week 5- week 13. This 10% increase would make the 2020 Covid-19 Total of 8381 + 4511 = 12,892 deaths.  Quite close to the 12,757 deaths attributed to Covid-19 thus far in this time period.  The question, then, becomes, is this entire shutdown justifiable for what could be explained as a 10% increase in pneumonia, influenza, and Covid-19 deaths during the 9 week period from Week 5 in February 2020 to week 13 in early April 2020.       


Author Biography

  • Mark D Mann, Texas Woman's University
    Associate Professor- School of Health Promotion and Kinesiology- Informatics, Analytics, and Technical Analysis

References

Geographic Differences in COVID-19 Cases, Deaths, and Incidence — United States, February 12–April 7, 2020 https://www.cdc.gov/mmwr/volumes/69/wr/mm6915e4.htm?s_cid=mm6915e4_w

Pneumonia and Influenza (P&I) Mortality Surveillance- WEB PAGE: https://www.cdc.gov/flu/weekly/#S2 DATA LINK: https://www.cdc.gov/flu/weekly/weeklyarchives2019-2020/data/NCHSData14.csv

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Published

2020-04-16

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Articles